GENERATION
JONES
AND THE 2008
U.S.
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
September
2008
“JonesVote’08”Video(5min.
56 seconds)
Discover
why Generation Jones is increasingly being viewed as key to the ’08 Election
in this brand new video, which features numerous top political figures
discussing GenJones and this election (everyone
who appears in this video is a frequent guest on major national TV political
shows)
Some
of the political journalists, politicians and political advisors who appear in
this “JonesVote’08” video include:
David
Brooks (New York Times)
Karen
Tumulty (Time Magazine)
Dick
Morris (Political Advisor)
Roland
Martin (CNN)
Jeff
Greenfield (CBS)
Michael
Steele (Chairman, GOPAC)
Doyle
McManus (
Los Angeles
Times)
Chris
Van Hollen(Chairman, DCCC)
Stuart
Rothenberg (Roll Call)
Karen
Brown (CBS)
Clarence
Page (
Chicago
Tribune)
Michael
Barone (U.S. News & World Report)
Juan
Williams(Fox News Channel)
Howard
Wolfson (Political Advisor)
Susan
Page (
USA
Today)
Mel
Martinez (U.S. Senator[R-Florida])
Lynn
Sweet (
Chicago
Sun-Times)
Bill
Press (Fox News Channel)
Carl
Leubsdorf (
Dallas
Morning News)
Al
Sharpton (Activist, Minister)
A
few quotes from this “JonesVote’08” video:
Howard
Wolfson:
“I think Generation Jonesers have the key swing vote in this election.”
Juan
Williams:
“There’s a key element here, in my mind, in terms of demographics, that is
driving this election, and actually it has to do with younger voters identifying
with the Barack Obama’s and with the Sarah Palin’s…and what again you see,
across racial lines, is this Generation Jones effect.”
Dick
Morris:
“I deeply believe that generational politics is the fundamental way to
understand political developments.”
(The
video “JonesVote’08” is politically non-partisan)
Aug
4, 2008… New Obama birthday poll released today:
Nationwide,
those who are exact same age as Obama
say they are GenJonesers, not Boomers or Xers
A
new poll released today, of a nationally representative sample of 500 U.S.
adults born in 1961—the same year Obama was born—shows that today’s 47
year olds clearly feel not like Boomers nor Gen Xers, but instead believe they
belong to the heretofore lost generation in-between Boomers and Xers…Generation
Jones. ThirdAge, a popular website for mid-lifers, commissioned the poll, in
conjunction with Obama’s Aug. 4, 2008 birthday.When respondents were asked which generation they believe they are a part
of:57% chose Generation Jones,
while only 22% picked Baby Boomer, and only 21% said Generation X.ThirdAge, a site that is known for prioritizing consumer insight about
its audience, has used this insight to build one of the most popular mid-lifer
websites, with over 500,000 unique visitors a month.The underlying concept for the poll was that rather than focusing on
expert opinion to determine the question of Obama’s generational identity, a
very effective way of answering this question is to ask the actual people born
in 1961 to self-identify their generation.
Question:
500
U.S.
adults born in 1961 were asked:
“Do
you consider yourself to be a member of the Baby Boom Generation, Generation X
or a lost generation in-between (usually called Generation Jones)?”
Results:
22% chose: Baby Boom Generation 57%
chose: Generation Jones 21% chose: Generation X
ThirdAge commissioned this polling of a nationally representative sample
of 500 U.S. adults born in 1961, conducted July 31- August 1, 2008. The polling
was conducted by MarketTools, using TrueSample technology, which has
recently emerged as a top
U.S.
polling firm, with a long list of Fortune500 company clients.
Many Top Media Outlets,
Blogs, Pollsters, and Websites have concluded that Barack Obama is not a
Boomer or Xer, but is a part of Generation Jones.Below are a few examples:
“Twilight
of the Baby Boom”
by
Jonathan
Alter
Published
in Feb. 11, 2008 Newsweek Magazine
Excerpt:
“It's
not just that Obama has inspired young voters, who prefer him in large numbers.
He also represents a new generation of leadership…In the case of
boomers—those born between 1946 and 1964—the whole frame is wrong. It's
based on birthrates, not common cultural and political affinities… it's no
surprise that Hillary
Clinton (born 1947) would have a different generational identity from Barack
Obama (born 1961). Late Boomers, dubbed "Generation Jones"... make up the largest share of the voter pie—26 percent…if we
weren't convincing flower children (or anti-hippies, like George W. Bush), we
weren't part of Generation X either. The Gen-Xers were too cynical. Instead we
became the perennial swing voters, with residual '60s idealism mixed with the
pragmatism and materialism of the '80s. Even as demographers concluded that
generations are really 10 to 15 years, not 20, no one represented us.”
“In
the Eye of the Beholder”
by Jenny Lynn Bader
Published in Feb. 17, 2008
Sunday New York Times (NYT graph below
accompanied article)
click to enlarge
Excerpt:
“While it’s clear boomers
are under siege, it’s less clear who they are. The baby boom itself, a
quantifiable event that certainly produced Mrs. Clinton in 1947, nevertheless
has controversial boundaries… Neil Howe and William Strauss argue in their
book “Generations” that the baby boom actually began in 1943, when
servicemen started coming home…The generation-spotter Jonathan Pontell, on the
other hand, argues the boom began in 1942 and ended in 1953. He places Mr. Obama
in “Generation Jones”… What’s a candidate on a generational cusp to
do?...”
“Obama
and Generation Jones: It’s Our Turn To Lead”
By
Bennett Kelley
Published April 24, 2008 in The
Huffington Post
“Obama
is from Generation Jones, born in the shadow of fallen heroes, tempered by
Watergate and disciplined by economic uncertainty... Senator Obama is the first
Joneser to emerge as a serious candidate at the national level and just as Senator
Clinton represents the Baby Boom era and Senator
McCain the Ice Age, Obama's campaign embodies the Generation Jones
zeitgeist... Historically, "the torch has passed" to a new generation
when an energetic challenger faced a ruling generation that had simply lost its
steam... There are tremors indicating such a shift is occurring today... Boomers
are increasingly aware of the advancing Jonesers who have ascended into power in
countries such as
Australia
,
Austria
,
Canada
,
France
,
Germany
and
Mexico
. President Bush has acknowledged that "Generation Jones is undeniably an
important group. If we Baby Boomers don't lead, they're right behind us ready
to." With Senator Obama, the Jonesers have found the moment and candidate
to do just that.”
“Clinton
vs. Obama; Boomer vs. Joneser”
by
Brent Green
Published April 29, 2008 in The
Boomers Blog
Excerpt:
“As
Jonathan Pontell and other
influential observers see it, Generation Jones came of age in the 1970s, not
the 1960s, and this generation's values differ from Boomers enough to merit new
conceptualizations of generational identity…This is also why we need to think
of Barack Obama (born 1961) as belonging to a different generational unit than
Hilary Clinton (born 1947)… Barack Obama
is a Joneser; Hilary Clinton is a
Boomer.
“Baby
Boomers Vs Gen Jones”
by
Andy Barnett
Published
July 13, 2008 in the Daily
Kos
Excerpt:
“Those
of us in Gen Jones are tired of being tarred with the Baby Boomer brush, which
doesn't really apply…Gen Jones politicians include Barak Obama (1961)…
Environmentalism, feminism, Vatican II, rock music, two paycheck families (are
there any other kind?), the end of great power warfare, globalization and many
other movements are all taken for granted by most Gen Jonesers, but barely
existed for young Boomers…Politically,
Jonesers are much more numerous than Boomers, with over four million of them per
year for a decade. they are a key to the next election.”
Generation
Jones in
Other Recent Elections
Generation Jones and the '06
U.S.
election
Fox News ChannelNov.
2, ‘06
MSNBCNov. 4, ‘06
Many media
outlets covered the role of Generation Jones
in the 2006
U.S.
Midterm Election, including:
National TV
news networks (including Fox News Channel, MSNBC,
etc.)
National radio news networks (including Metro Networks (airs on
over 3000 radio stations); CNN Radio Network (airs on over
2000 radio stations), USA Radio Network (airs on over 1500 U.S.
radio stations), Talk Radio News Service (airs on over 300 U.S.
radio stations)
Nationally syndicated radio newsmagazines (including America in the
Morning (airs on over 400 radio stations)
Nationally syndicated radio talk show hosts (including The Jim Bohannon
Show, The Lynne Breidenbach Show , The Armstrong
Williams Show, etc.)
Top-ranked News/Talk radio stations (including WRKO, WBAL,
etc.)
Regional radio networks in key election states (including Missouri Net
(airs on over 65
Missouri
radio stations), etc.)
For more on GenJones and the '06
U.S.
election, click
here
Prior
to Nov. '06, Generation Jones had already emerged as a crucial voting segment in
recent Western elections.Below are
examples from the '04
U.S.
,'05
UK
, and '05
New Zealand
elections:
In all three elections, Generation Jones:
Was widely recognized as pivotal voting segment
Had the highest percentage, among all generations, of "swing voters"
Was the largest generational slice of each electorate
(GenJones was 28% of U.S. voters, 24% of U.K. voters, 29% of New Zealand voters)
Was the focus of major interest by top national media
Generation Jones and the '04 U.S. election
Top pollster Mason-Dixon's '04 post-election study
(on it's website above) found Jonesers' support for the
GOP so massive that M-D concluded: "History will show
it was one generation of voters-Generation Jones-
that was the decisive vote that re-elected George W Bush".
After studying voter volatility rates from July through
Oct. '04 with over 20,000 voters, pollster Scott Rasmussen
concluded that Generation Jones women were the main
swing voters, vacillating more than any other segment.
Rasmussen put press release about GenJones women as
swing voters on his site (above) 6 days before election day
The Polling Report ran a cover story
immediately after the '04 election titled "Generation Jones: The
Invisible Generation Elects a President". This long feature was then
published on The Hotline, and many newspapers nationally (like The
Denver Post above)
Generation Jones' role in the '04 election was discussed on many national TV and radio programs, including FOX News Channel's (above)discussion of Jonesers as key swing voters
For more on GenJones and the '04 U.S. election, click here
Generation Jones and the '05 UK Election
Generation Jones and the '05 NZ Election
Top UK newspaper The Independent commissioned weekly polling of Jonesers, with a GenJones article each week leading up to the election. GenJones received so much major UK election media attention that The Times concluded that of all the new voting catchprases, Generation Jones was "our one freshly identified demographic with a future".
Generation Jones' role in the New Zealand election was widely considered to be pivotal by Kiwi pollsters and media (above image of Jonathan Pontell discussing Generation Jones on "Campbell Live"--the top New Zealand current affairs TV show (Kiwi equivalent of U.S. TV show "Meet The Press")
For more on GenJones and the '05 UK Election,
click here
For more on GenJones and the '05 NZ Election,
click
here